AMAZON送货小直升机的六大不靠谱

日期:2013-12-05 11:06 编辑:Caleb Kraft

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AMAZON(亚马逊)日前宣布了一项新的送货服务计划,让很多人都感到兴奋不已;这项叫做“亚马逊 Prime Air”的服务,号称能在30分钟之内将网络商店客户订购的货品,用一种小型四螺旋桨直升机送到客户手上。

当然AMAZON也公开表示这项送货服务并不是马上就开始提供,但在官网上所刊登的消息却表示,目前唯一的主要障碍是美国联邦奥门威尼斯网址总署(FAA)尚未批准该种四螺旋桨直升机的飞行;AMAZON预期要到2015年才能取得FAA许可。

AMAZON计划推出小型直升机送货服务,以及顺丰小型无人 机送货测试视频:

针对以上的这个计划,笔者想在此讨论一下其可行性;大家大家应该都同意这是理论上可行的,而且目前尚未真的开始施行。因此大家来深入想想其中的一些问题,应该会很有趣…以下是笔者想到的几个点:

1. 覆盖范围。AMAZON首席实行官Jeff Bezos在接受电视资讯台访问时表示,他们预计这种无人小直升机的飞行距离是10英哩(mile),意味这种送货方式只能在某些特定区域适用。你如果想要享受这种服务,可能得先祈祷你家附近的配送中心有提供。

2. 投递区域。在上面的视频里,收件者有一个很不错的露台能让小直升机降落并卸货;但在大都会里要找一个那样的地方恐怕不太容易。如果收件地址没有庭院、只有路边人行道或是就在大街边呢?直升机该怎么降落?如果是公寓又怎么办?或是收件者不在家呢?

3. 责任归属。万一要是无人驾驶小型直升机坠毁了怎么办?或是降落在院子里的时候摔在宠物身上?撞到障碍物或是发生事故?就算是有保险或是各种约定条款,恐怕都很难避免任何一种无预警发生的意外。

4. 官方批准。虽然FAA一直在研拟让无人驾驶奥门威尼斯人平台上天空的法令,但是要真的让人们能在都会区使用该种飞行器,恐怕还有一段很长的路要走。

5. 盗贼觊觎。这种无人驾驶小直升机看起来是非常不错的窃盗目标,不只是它们所运送的货品,甚至它们本身也可能会不见;于是这样一套物流系统有可能每天都是肉 包子打狗有去无回…就连一般的常见邮递包裹都会有被窃的问题,因此试想若小直升机运送的货物是昂贵的电子产品,就可能被有心人在空中拦截或是在降落时被 抢。虽然大家很不想把人性想得如此险恶,但这种状况恐怕还是不可避免。

6. 到货时间。AMAZON在上面的视讯里一再强调30分钟的到货时间,这听起来确实很有吸引力,但实在很让人好奇他们要如何兑现那样的承诺?通常透过网络下单总是要经过一些处理与货品包装程序,AMAZON所指的30分钟可能只有单纯的运输流程。

虽然虑到以上种种问题,笔者仍然认为AMAZON的这个计划真的很可爱…希翼它不会像是某些车厂发表了很迷人的概念车款,结果最后并没有实现量产。无论如何,这个计划将会让大家学习到一些新东西,且让大家拭目以待…而你认为它会实现吗?欢迎分享你的看法!

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亚马逊 Prime Air Is a Lot of Hot Air

Caleb Kraft, Chief Community Editor

This weekend, 亚马逊 announced a new delivery method that has many people excited. Called 亚马逊 Prime Air, the service delivers your order in 30 minutes via a "quadcopter."

Take a moment and watch this video that the company uses to show how the service works.

亚马逊 openly admits that 亚马逊 Prime Air isn a delivery method that you can use right now. However, the only major hurdle listed on 亚马逊s website is the fact that the FAA hasn cleared its quadcopters for flight yet. The company anticipates approval in 2015.

Id like to start a discussion on the feasibility of this idea. We can all agree that it is theoretically possible, and that it is also not really doable at the moment, but I think it could be fun to delve deeper. Here are a few of my thoughts.

1. Coverage. In a 60 Minutes interview that aired Dec. 1, 亚马逊 CEO Jeff Bezos said he expects a 10-mile range with the drones. This means that this option would only be available in a few selected areas. You then have to hope that those areas happen to have the product you e after in their distribution centers.

2. Drop zones. In the video, there is a nice patio placed conveniently for the little drone to land and drop off its delivery. However, in the urban areas where this is targeted it won be so easy. Where do you intend to land such a drone when theres no yard, only a sidewalk and a street? What about apartment buildings? What about when the tenant isn present?

3. Liability. Drones falling from the sky? Drones landing in a yard with a pet? Drones colliding with obstacles? The mountain of liability insurance and paperwork seems like enough to bury this entire idea all by itself.

4. The FAA. Although it has been working on laying out the laws on unmanned aerial drone usage, the FAA is a long way from letting people use something like this in an urban area.

5. Theft. The drones just seem like perfect targets for theft. Not only the items they are carrying, but the drones themselves are likely to go missing. Running a system like this would be like dumping masses of drones into the trash every day. Normal package delivery has problems with packages disappearing from doorsteps; consider for a moment if an expensive piece of technology attached to that delivery could be swatted out of the air or snatched on landing. While Id like to give our fellow human beings the benefit of the doubt, a certain percentage of loss should be expected.

6. Timing. 亚马逊 mentions 30 minutes in the video several times. While that does sound interesting, I have to wonder how it plans on getting anywhere near that kind of timing. The time it takes for your order to simply go through processing and packaging should consume several times that on any normal day. Maybe 亚马逊 is just referring to transit.

Final thoughts

I think it is a cute idea. At this point though, it is just like Ford or Volkswagen trotting out an amazing concept car that will never see production. Sure, well learn some things from it, and some aspects may surface one day, but I doubt well see this car on the road. What do you think?



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